Research Claim Due Diligence · executable audit · v0.6

Verify the evidence trail, not just the number.

The normal button is fast. A second button recomputes farther upstream from 6,000 × 210 residual correlations. Everything runs locally in the browser; there is no terminal step.

Claim under audit

Reliability disattenuation did not change the ordinal conclusions.

Focal comparison: open-mindedness (OM) vs collective narcissism (CN), conspiracy-beliefs outcome.

Verification scope

Read before interpreting the result
Interpretation note
Interpretation rule. In the bug-only repair, 5,800/6,000 draws favor the opposite ordering, while the repaired 95% equal-tailed interval for D is approximately [−0.001149, +0.043216] and narrowly includes zero. The verifier therefore tests whether the reported ordinal claim is preserved; it does not establish the reverse substantive claim.
What this establishes
  • The archived reliability-correction code contains the identified stale-object defect.
  • Under a bug-only repair, the published ordinal comparison for the conspiracy-beliefs outcome is not preserved.
  • Coefficients recomputed from the independently reconstructed Stage 4G posterior substrate agree with the separately packaged Stage 4H focal coefficient artifact at machine precision.
What this does NOT establish
  • It does not establish the opposite substantive theory as true.
  • It does not invalidate every result or conclusion in the paper.
  • It does not invalidate the original uncorrected multivariate regression.
  • It does not adjudicate the paper's broader construct validity or causal interpretation.
  • It does not establish intent or misconduct.
Focal artifact: not checkedUpstream posterior: not checkedArchived source: optional

Integrity fingerprints

Stage 4H focal CSV
Not checked
Stage 4G compact posterior
Not checked
Archived Rmd
Not supplied
Expected SHA-256 values

Focal draw artifact

20151ffcdce3f4007b2b7091e0932722647ca0dae224f18dc42f5d05fe06a0a7

Compact 6,000 × 210 posterior artifact

b74946aff0be9e22a7d64d05087ac812afc2d6568e8d0523df56fda112763d96

Archived Rmd

501f6bb0f73c2c5f3bd9008bfad844627868219f47ac911050fe0f34a16c4682

Provenance map

Author-side archived materials and audit-side reconstruction are deliberately separated. Stage 4G is an independent reconstruction, not an author-supplied posterior object.

Author-side materials
Archived RmdSource code inspected for the stale-object defect; optional browser SHA-256 check.
+
Public raw data + model specificationInputs used to reconstruct the upstream model target.
Audit-side reconstruction
Independent refitReconstructed Stage 4G posterior: 4 × 1,500 draws.
→
210 residual correlationsExtracted into the compact 6,000 × 210 posterior artifact.
→
Rebuild + reliability correction + solve21 × 21 matrices and direct coefficient solves.
→
Recomputed focal coefficientsCompared against the separately packaged Stage 4H focal artifact.
Verification relation: deep mode does not claim that residual-correlation draws are the same object as the focal coefficient artifact. It recomputes focal coefficients from the reconstructed upstream draws and checks their agreement with the separately packaged Stage 4H coefficients.

Provenance manifest

OriginTransformationOutputIntegrity / verification relation
Author archiveArchived analysis source retained as-isArchived RmdSHA-256 checked when supplied; pinned source anchors inspect the stale-object pattern
Public data + archived model specificationIndependent audit-side refitStage 4G posterior, four chains × 1,500 drawsOriginal chain hashes recorded; extraction-time matches listed below
Stage 4G posteriorExtract 210 residual-correlation parametersCompact 6,000 × 210 posterior artifactEmbedded artifact is SHA-256 fingerprinted before deep verification
Compact posteriorRebuild 21 × 21 matrices → apply reliability correction → direct solvesRecomputed focal coefficient drawsDeep mode compares these coefficients with the separately packaged Stage 4H focal artifact
Audit-side packaged outputPackage focal coefficient draws for fast verificationStage 4H focal CSVEmbedded artifact is SHA-256 fingerprinted before focal recalculation

Evidence depth

LayerWhat is checkedAction
1. Fast consequenceFingerprint Stage 4H focal draws → recompute D, intervals and 1/6000 vs 5800/6000.Quick verify
2. Upstream numerical pathFingerprint Stage 4G compact posterior → rebuild 21×21 matrices → 12,000 direct solves → compare β draws with Stage 4H.Deep verify
3. Archived sourceFingerprint the Rmd → inspect locked line anchors for the stale-object pattern.Check archived Rmd
Original four-chain provenance
ChainDrawsRecorded SHA-256Match at extraction
11500a938e57fa812913de405b6b4288e8d90b6384e6cf24e43b43ab595816e56949e✓
2150030255c9fc03f491c06c3c215c95d6f7d8d03d08c565dade13a4cf02e2c65c03e✓
315003936a5c0f84f76c5279b16342807d5e1e96b22e8ddf8606787b9d5dc605334e9✓
415001a483d8740dee97690196e3ae713d3815af417b4467ac4be72a0d014b6350dd3✓

Run log

Ready. Quick verify is the normal button.